Donald Trump is in an unprecedentedly good position for a nonincumbent to win the Republican nomination and an improved position to win the general election compared to any stage in the 2020 cycle or, for that matter, the 2016 cycle.
The national average gap between Trump and the rest of the field is over 30 points, with Trump’s closest primary rival, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, now polling below 20%.
Even if most Americans think Trump’s two indictments so far were justified, Trump may still win a rematch against President Joe Biden. According to a recent Marquette University Law School survey, a statistically negligible lead for Trump over Biden was found. CNN did not publish a single national poll throughout the 2020 election cycle that Trump led. In the late summer of 2019, Biden led by double digits, whereas now, the average of all 2024 polls has Trump leading by less than one point.
With the 2024 election still over a year away, it seems likely that just a handful of states will decide the outcome. The good news for Democrats is that general election polling is not predictive now, unlike primary polling, and things may change.
Rep. Nancy Pelosi (D-Calif.) expressed concern about a potential second term for former President Trump in an interview released on Monday.
Pelosi, the former Speaker, was questioned about the possibility of another term for the Trump administration, and she said, “Don’t even think like that,” in an interview with New York Magazine. She said if Trump won the presidency, there would be a criminal in the White House.
Despite losing his 2020 reelection bid, Trump is widely seen as the party’s leading candidate for the nomination in 2024.
As Speaker of the House during Trump’s first term, Pelosi’s relationship with the president was fractious at best, and she often chose public opportunities to express her disapproval of the administration.
The House of Representatives twice voted to impeach Trump while she was Speaker. She also pushed for a committee to investigate the assault on the Capitol on January 6 and appointed its members.
Last Monday, the committee called for criminal charges against Trump for his attempts to overthrow the 2020 election. She called the indictment “beautiful.”
Pelosi praised the charges brought against the former president.